Community Call

Many people may know that over the past few decades, the United States has relied on its dollar hegemony to create a dollar tide and harvest many countries. But when the United States created the dollar tide again, this time it overturned: even if Argentina, Egypt, Sri Lanka and other countries have surrendered, they still cannot satisfy the huge appetite of the United States. Essentially, the yen is the shadow currency of the US dollar. Moreover, this shadow seems to be obedient to the body (the United States) on the surface, but it actually hides evil intentions. Of course, Wall Street in the United States is not a vegetarian, Japan has always had US troops stationed, and the Tokyo District Prosecutor's Office was single-handedly concocted by MacArthur, pinching the lifeblood of Japan, the country's wealth controller, and taking it from life and death. These two essences must be seen clearly! ☆ ☆ The depth and breadth of Japanese assets are fully capable of wreaking havoc on the dollar system and the U.S. bond market, which could eventually lead to a complete outbreak of the U.S. debt crisis. Japan's long-term policy of zero interest rates has led to large-scale capital flight from Japan, most of which has flowed to the U.S. bond market. In addition, the U.S. dollar's interest rate hike has led to a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields, which has further stimulated the inflow of U.S. dollar capital into the U.S. bond market. Assuming that yen inflation is accompanied by interest rate hikes against this backdrop, Japan could siphon trillions of dollars of liquidity from Central Europe. Especially in the U.S. bond market, the outflow of capital from the yen and the U.S. dollar will send shockwaves to the U.S. bond market. If Japan really does this, it will be equivalent to launching a financial version of the "sneak attack on Pearl Harbor" against the United States again. However, judging from the continued pressure on the U.S. to raise interest rates on the yen, although the U.S. still has control over Japan, the U.S. does not want the yen to raise interest rates now. On the contrary, if the dollar chooses to open the floodgates at this time, it will be tantamount to announcing in disguise that the era of the dollar tidal harvest is completely over, and the dollar Ponzi scheme is one step closer to collapsing. Therefore, for Japan as a country, raising interest rates is naturally good for its own debt pressure to ease, but it has had an impact on US interests, and I am afraid that it is not so easy to achieve. Then, the current expectation of continuous intensive yen interest rate hikes is still brewing and hype, and this thing is very doorway: is there a possibility that Japan and the United States are singing double reeds in financial policy, and the drunkard is not drinking? ☆ ☆ On the other hand, the scale of the U.S. debt has soared in the past two years, exceeding $34.5 trillion. What should we do if we can't cut leeks? The boss has something to do, and the younger brother obeys his work, and the United States has come up with a new idea: Let the yen raise interest rates and continue its great cause of raising interest rates. You must know that the investment of yen capital is spread all over the world, and by the end of 2022, Japan's overseas net assets have reached 418.6 trillion yen, or about 2.82 trillion US dollars. And that's just net worth, with some sources saying that Japan's actual total overseas assets are as high as $10 trillion, of which 57% are in bonds and 37% in equity investments. Therefore, when the yen raises interest rates, it will further recycle liquidity in the global market, and once someone can't hold on, the United States can swing the sickle and complete the harvest. Of course, this in itself is also a contest of patience and resilience, after all, the United States itself also has to bear the pressure of liquidity recovery, and it depends on who can't hold on first and becomes the first to fall.

Just published: front page of the Financial Times, international edition, July 14

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