XRP Price Prediction: Technical Analysis Reveals "Triple Cycle" Nearing Explosion Point; RSI Breaking 90 May Trigger Triple-Digit Rise

The price of Ripple (XRP) is currently stable above $3, following the overall trend of the crypto market. Renowned chart analyst Egrag Crypto's latest Technical Analysis points out that the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP is demonstrating its unique "Cycle of Three" pattern, indicating that the price is about to enter an explosive rise phase. This pattern has been validated during the bull runs of 2017 and 2021, with the current cycle having completed the first two phases of "big pump" and "pullback," and is about to initiate the third phase, "Blow-Off Top." The analyst predicts that this round's monthly RSI peak could reach 80, 87, or even 97. Should the extreme Overbought signal of RSI breaking 90 reoccur as it did in 2017, XRP could replicate the epic surge from $0.1 to $3.4, breaking through the historical high of $3.65 and aiming for double-digit price levels.

"Triple Cycle" Theory: Historical Patterns Indicate an Imminent Outburst

The framework of Egrag Crypto is based on specific patterns that repeatedly appear in the monthly RSI indicator of XRP. According to its analysis, each complete cycle consists of three stages:

  1. First Stage (Major Pump): RSI surges significantly, corresponding to the main price rise.
  2. Second Phase (Correction): RSI pullback, price enters adjustment period
  3. Third Phase (Blow-Off Top): RSI forms an extreme peak "big pump top", price reaches its peak.

Historical Validation: Insights from the 2017 and 2021 Cycles

This pattern has been validated in past bull runs of XRP:

  • 2017 Cycle (Cycle 1): Accompanied by XRP's big pump from less than $0.1 to a historical high of $3.40, the RSI shows a complete strong three-stage pattern.
  • 2021 Cycle (Cycle 2): Suppressed by the lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC, the rise was relatively modest, the RSI pattern strength weakened, but it still strictly followed the three-phase sequence.

Current Cycle (Cycle 3): The third phase is about to start

Egrag Crypto points out that the current period marked as Cycle 3 has clearly completed the first two stages (RSI big pump and pullback). We are now on the brink of the third stage explosion, which is a critical period to push the RSI towards the "big pump peak". Based on the RSI trajectory of the previous two cycles, analysts predict that the monthly RSI peak in this round may reach:

  • Target 1: 80
  • Target 2: 87
  • Target Three (Aggressive Prediction): 97

The Power of RSI Breaking 90: Can Historical Gains be Reproduced?

If the XRP monthly RSI can really reach levels of 80, 87, or even 97, it will be one of the strongest overbought signals in the asset's history. Historical experience is highly valuable for reference:

  • 2017 Comparison: When the XRP monthly RSI broke above 90, the price skyrocketed from <0.1 dollar to a historical peak of 3.40 dollars.
  • Technical Meaning: RSI > 70 usually indicates that an asset is Overbought, but in a bull run environment, this state can persist alongside a price surge. For XRP, an RSI breakout above 90 often coincides with hitting a new all-time high.
  • Potential target for this round: If the intensity of the third phase is comparable to 2017, the XRP price is expected to strongly break through $3.65 (the current historical high) and further challenge the $4, $5, and even double digits ($10+) levels.

Risk Warning: RSI peak may indicate a cycle top

It should be noted that an RSI breakout above 90 may also issue a warning signal that the price has reached the top of a multi-year cycle. As of the time of writing, the XRP monthly RSI reading is 73, with the price trading around $3.02. Investors need to make comprehensive judgments based on changes in trading volume and fundamental developments when making their layouts.

Conclusion

Egrag Crypto's "Triple Cycle" theory provides XRP investors with a technical framework based on historical patterns. The judgment that the current cycle is entering the third phase, combined with the month-line RSI at a rising point of 73, suggests that XRP may be at the critical point of a new epic pump. If the RSI can replicate the extreme overbought signal of breaking 90 in 2017, XRP's breakout above the historical high of $3.65 and movement towards double-digit prices will have solid technical backing. However, the "big pump peak" characteristic of the RSI also indicates potential for significant volatility and top risks. While investors seize opportunities, they need to closely monitor variables such as lawsuit developments, institutional adoption, and the overall market environment, and manage risks appropriately. Whether XRP can write new history in the third phase remains to be seen, as the market holds its breath.

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